Study: White deaths exceeded births in one-third of states
(Dec. 5, 2016) -- According to new research by Rogelio Sáenz, dean of The University of Texas at San Antonio (UTSA) College of Public Policy (COPP), and Kenneth Johnson, senior demographer at the Carsey School of Public Policy at the University of New Hampshire, more white deaths than births were reported in 2014 17 U.S. states—more than in any time in the country's history—compared to only four states in 2004. The number is expected to remain consistent.
The 17 states include California, Florida, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Connecticut, Maine and Rhode Island.
"When births fail to keep pace with deaths, a region is said to have a natural decrease in population," Sáenz said.
The researchers believe that the decreasing white population in these states can be attributed to the rising number of aging adults, a decrease in their fertility rates and the falling number of white women of childbearing age.
Despite the large number of states with white natural decline, only two states had more deaths than births in their combined population. For the other 15 states, the white natural decrease has been offset by natural increases in minority populations.
In particular, due to the youthfulness of the Latino population, Latino births exceeded deaths by a considerable margin during the same time frame. This trend, the researchers said, is related to the increasing diversity of the U.S. population. A 2014 report by Sáenz, in fact, contends that the single largest component of the U.S. child population will be Latino by 2060.
"Our analysis of the demographic factors causing white natural decrease and minority population growth suggests that the pace is likely to pick up in the future," said Sáenz. "These demographic trends have major policy implications from increasing demands on healthcare and retirement systems for aging populations to considerable necessary investments in education and training for younger ones."
The report suggests that competing demands between these populations could create considerable potential for disagreements regarding funding priorities.
The research brief was conducted on behalf of the Carsey School of Public Policy at the University of New Hampshire. Sáenz is the Mark G. Yudof Endowed Professor at UTSA and a policy fellow at the Carsey School of Public Policy at the University of New Hampshire.
UTSA is ranked among the top 400 universities in the world and among the top 100 in the nation, according to Times Higher Education.
This article was written in collaboration with UNH Today. Read the orginal press release.
Read the full report:"White Deaths Exceed Births in One-Third of U.S. States."
Learn more about the UTSA College of Public Policy.
Join Rowdy Crew near the Roadrunner Statue for food, games and information to get hyped for the game. Some UTSA football players also plan to stop by.Central Plaza, Main Campus
Be ready to laughs during this entertaining evening at the Homecoming Comedy Show! Free with a UTSA Student ID.H-E-B University Center Ballrooms (HUC 1.104 and HUC 1.106), Main Campus
Organizations participating in the golf cart parade will be creatively decorating their carts in the 2017 UTSA Homecoming theme "Spirit, Tradition, and Pride".University Center Lawn, Main Campus
As he wrote about in his book, Kill It To Save It: An Autopsy of Capitalism's Triumph Over Democracy, Corey Dolgon will speak about what made Donald Trump the preferred choice for many voters and shows how policy is crafted, marketed and sold or rejected.Buena Vista Street Building, Aula Canaria Lecture Hall (BVB 1.328), Downtown Campus
The UTSA African American Studies Program is proud to present Dr. Rupert Evans, a Harvard Macy Scholar and the immediate past President of the Institute for Diversity in Health Management.Main Building (MB 0.208), Main Campus
President Taylor Eighmy is inviting all UTSA faculty and staff to "Tacos With Taylor." Take the opportunity to introduce yourself to the President at any one of these casual meet and greets.Frio Street Building, Food Court Commons Area, Downtown Campus
Celebrate 40 years of BestFest, an annual event hosted by Roadrunner Productions as a part of UTSA Homecoming festivities. The event will feature a carnival, food and drink booths, a golf cart parade, firework and live music from Anthem.Brackenridge Lot 1, Main Campus
Celebrate homecoming as the Roadrunners take on Rice. Come early for the Spirit Walk, tailgating, games, music and food. Stick around for a halftime show with SOSA and the crowning of Mr. and Ms. UTSA.Alamodome, 100 Montana St., Downtown San Antonio